Portugal vs Croatia
Thursday 2 July at 23:00 UTC
Portugal
Croatia◆ The Seer picked Portugal — correct ✓ (result: Portugal)
◆ Seer · Elo modelWin probability
Portugal 67% Croatia 33%
What's driving this call
Seer scoreline 1–0 Elo rating Portugal 1983.255344904166 · Croatia 1926.5449050693485 Portugal ahead by 56.71043983481741
Recent form Portugal: L W D W D Croatia: L W W L
Head to head 1 past — Portugal 1, draws 0, Croatia 0
Venue Neutral venue Home edge weights the nominal home side
Only real signals — Elo from results history, form, head-to-head and venue. How the Seer works →
● Crowd— votes
Portugal vs Croatia prediction
Ahead of Portugal versus Croatia at the 2026 World Cup, the Seer — fifapredicate's Elo rating model — makes Portugal the favourite with a 67% chance of winning the tie, against a 25% likelihood of a draw. The model is built purely on historical international results, with no bias for star names or hype.
Think the Seer has it wrong? Cast your vote above and see whether the crowd agrees with the machine — then check back after full time to find out who read the game best.