Portugal vs Croatia
Thursday 2 July at 23:00 UTC
Portugal
Croatia◆ Seer · Elo modelWin probability
Portugal 66% Croatia 34%
What's driving this call
Seer scoreline 1–0 Elo rating Portugal 1983.9509007775857 · Croatia 1936.86702044423 Portugal ahead by 47.08388033335564
Recent form Portugal: D W D Croatia: W W L
Head to head First competitive meeting
Venue Neutral venue Home edge weights the nominal home side
Only real signals — Elo from results history, form, head-to-head and venue. How the Seer works →
● Crowd— votes
Portugal vs Croatia prediction
Ahead of Portugal versus Croatia at the 2026 World Cup, the Seer — fifapredicate's Elo rating model — makes Portugal the favourite with a 66% chance of winning the tie, against a 26% likelihood of a draw. The model is built purely on historical international results, with no bias for star names or hype.
Think the Seer has it wrong? Cast your vote above and see whether the crowd agrees with the machine — then check back after full time to find out who read the game best.