Turkey vs United States
Friday 26 June at 02:00 UTC
◆ Seer · Elo modelWin probability
Turkey 45% Draw 27% United States 28%
● Crowd— votes
Turkey vs United States prediction
Ahead of Turkey versus United States at the 2026 World Cup, the Seer — fifapredicate's Elo rating model — makes Turkey the favourite with a 45% chance of winning the tie, against a 27% likelihood of a draw. The model is built purely on historical international results, with no bias for star names or hype.
Think the Seer has it wrong? Cast your vote above and see whether the crowd agrees with the machine — then check back after full time to find out who read the game best.