United States vs Australia
Friday 19 June at 19:00 UTC
United States
Australia◆ The Seer picked United States — correct ✓ (result: United States)
◆ Seer · Elo modelWin probability
United States 54% Draw 25% Australia 21%
What's driving this call
Seer scoreline 1–0 Elo rating United States 1799.769744961961 · Australia 1746.1293629954305 United States ahead by 53.64038196653041
Recent form United States: L W L W W Australia: D D L W
Head to head 1 past — United States 1, draws 0, Australia 0
Venue United States host advantage applied Home edge weights the nominal home side
Only real signals — Elo from results history, form, head-to-head and venue. How the Seer works →
● Crowd— votes
United States vs Australia prediction
Ahead of United States versus Australia at the 2026 World Cup, the Seer — fifapredicate's Elo rating model — makes United States the favourite with a 54% chance of winning the tie, against a 25% likelihood of a draw. The model is built purely on historical international results, with no bias for star names or hype.
Think the Seer has it wrong? Cast your vote above and see whether the crowd agrees with the machine — then check back after full time to find out who read the game best.